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Immigration appeal success rates in New Zealand

Updated 25 July 2026

Almost half of decided residence appeals to New Zealand's Immigration and Protection Tribunal succeed: 49% of 8,103 decided residence appeals in the tribunal's published decisions were allowed, sent back to Immigration New Zealand for reassessment, or ended in a grant of residence. Deportation and refugee appeals succeed far less often: 37% of decided non-resident deportation appeals and 21% of decided refugee and protection appeals were allowed. Every figure on this page is computed from the 20,726 decisions the tribunal and its predecessor boards have published, and updates as new decisions appear.

Success rates by appeal type

A success here means the tribunal allowed the appeal, cancelled the decision and returned the application to Immigration New Zealand as if newly lodged, or the appeal led to a grant of residence. Dismissed and declined appeals count as unsuccessful. Withdrawn appeals, jurisdiction rulings and referrals to the Minister that have no recorded grant sit outside both sides of the calculation.

  • Skilled migrant residence: 48% of 3,768 decided appeals succeeded
  • Partnership residence: 52% of 1,522 decided appeals succeeded
  • Parent residence: 42% of 1,188 decided appeals succeeded
  • Sibling and adult child residence: 49% of 399 decided appeals succeeded
  • Business residence: investor 51% of 200 and entrepreneur 45% of 259 decided appeals succeeded
  • Special policies (Pacific access, Samoan quota, victims of domestic violence and similar): 72% of 280 decided appeals succeeded
  • Deportation, non-resident: 37% of 3,997 decided appeals succeeded
  • Deportation, resident: 34% of 701 decided appeals succeeded
  • Refugee and protection: 21% of 6,730 decided appeals succeeded

What the tribunal outcomes mean

Residence appeals are determined under section 188 of the Immigration Act 2009, and the tribunal has more options than a simple yes or no. It can confirm Immigration New Zealand's decision as correct, which dismisses the appeal. It can find the decision incorrect and allow the appeal. It can cancel the decision and return the application to Immigration New Zealand for assessment as if it were a new application, which this page counts as a success because the decline is set aside. Finally, where the decision was correct but the appellant has special circumstances, it can recommend that the Minister of Immigration consider an exception to instructions; a minority of those referrals end in a grant of residence, and only those recorded grants are counted as successes here.

Deportation appeals on humanitarian grounds turn on whether it would be unjust or unduly harsh to deport the appellant, balanced against the public interest. Refugee and protection appeals apply the Refugee Convention and protected person grounds. Both are decided as allowed or declined, which maps directly to the success rates above.

Representation and outcomes

The tribunal records who appeared for each appellant, which makes one comparison possible: outcomes for appellants with professional representation (a lawyer or licensed immigration adviser) against outcomes for appellants who represented themselves. Represented appellants succeeded more often in nearly every appeal type: 50% against 41% in skilled migrant appeals, 56% against 39% in partnership appeals, 40% against 24% in non-resident deportation appeals, and 34% against 6% in refugee and protection appeals.

Read the gap carefully: it is a correlation, not proof that representation causes the difference. Professionals decline hopeless cases, so their caseload is stronger to begin with, and appellants with stronger cases may be more willing to pay for help. What the gap does show is that the appeals professionals choose to run succeed at materially higher rates — and individual professionals' published appeal records can be compared on this directory: every lawyer and adviser profile with tribunal appearances shows their cases and outcomes by appeal type, and the directory search can filter and sort by appeal experience.

Lodging an appeal — deadlines, fees and forms

Residence appeals must be lodged within 42 days of being notified of the decision, with a filing fee of $964 (from 1 July 2026) that cannot be waived — the appeal is not accepted without it, though one fee covers family members included in the application. Deportation appeals also carry the $964 fee, with 28-day deadlines for people served a liability notice and 42 days for people appealing after becoming unlawful. Refugee and protection appeals are free, but their deadlines are the shortest: 10 working days, or 5 if detained — although uniquely those can be extended for special circumstances. The tribunal's forms are on the Ministry of Justice website, and the appeal rights guide maps which route applies to which decision, including the 14-day reconsideration for temporary visa declines that cannot be appealed at all.

What these numbers cannot tell you

A base rate is not your chance of winning. Appeals are decided on their own facts, and the strongest predictor of an outcome is the strength of the underlying case, not the category average. The rates also reflect decades of shifting immigration instructions; the mix of cases the tribunal hears changes as policy changes.

If you are considering an appeal, check the tribunal's official guidance immediately and consider getting advice from a licensed immigration adviser or an immigration lawyer with appeal experience — every professional's published appeal record is on their profile, and the directory search can filter by appeal type and case volume. How this directory verifies professionals and compiles appeal records is set out in the methodology. The deportation guide covers liability and the humanitarian test in depth.

Frequently asked questions

What percentage of residence appeals succeed in New Zealand?
49% of the 8,103 decided residence appeals in the tribunal's published decisions succeeded — the appeal was allowed, the application was returned to Immigration New Zealand for reassessment, or residence was granted after a referral to the Minister. Rates vary by category: skilled migrant 48%, partnership 52%, parent 42%.
What are the chances of winning a deportation appeal?
In the tribunal's published decisions, 37% of decided non-resident deportation appeals and 34% of decided resident deportation appeals succeeded. These are humanitarian-ground appeals decided on whether deportation would be unjust or unduly harsh, so the base rate says little about any individual case.
Do appellants with a lawyer or adviser win more appeals?
Represented appellants succeed at materially higher rates in nearly every appeal type — for example 34% against 6% for self-represented appellants in refugee and protection appeals. This is a correlation: professionals also screen out weak cases, so the gap overstates the effect of representation itself.
Where do these figures come from?
They are computed from all 20,726 decisions published by the Immigration and Protection Tribunal and its predecessor boards, refreshed as new decisions are published. Withdrawn appeals and jurisdiction rulings are excluded from success-rate calculations.

Sources

More on appeals and declined applications

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General information, not immigration advice. Rules change; always check the linked official sources.